Becky Can I marry this table, or this, you know, clock? But Kleefisch did the best of the Republicans in thehead-to-head matchup against Evers, with 43% of the vote versus 47% for Evers. And he doesn't shy away from progressive social issues: His TikTok account, for instance, features posts of him calling for the Senate to end the filibuster, codify Roe v. Wade into law and pass the Equality Act to enact protections for transgender people. Ron Johnson and His Wife Jane Johnson. While other states may have difficulty motivating Democrats to turn out, the vitriol that Johnson inspires in Democrats in Wisconsin will help to drive turnout, said Wisconsin Democratic strategist Tanya Bjork. The senators name recognition has grown to its highest levels. Wisconsins senior senator should get a boost from traditional midterm dynamics, where the party out of power is helped by animosity toward the party in the White House. Democratic President Joe Biden was also underwater in the latest poll, with just 40% approving of him and 57% disapproving. Because Massachusetts is so blue, thats no big whoop in the Bay State but in reddish Florida, it denotes a talented politician with a lot of cross-party appeal. 772 days 4 . Raphael Warnock, Mark Kelly, Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto all have PARS scores of at least +7, suggesting that they are capable of outperforming the base partisanship of their state. Sen. Ron Johnson is commonly referred to as one of the country's most unpopular U.S. senators. Eli Lilly CEO announces it will cap out-of-pocket costs for its insulin at $35, GOP bill would fund security grants for 'pregnancy centers' only if they oppose abortion, House Republicans vote for repeal of climate-related investment regulations, Rep. James Comer criticizes U.S. attorney for not investigating Biden's dead son, House GOP members interrogate Biden administration efforts to address environmental racism, Fact check: No, the Biden administration is not trying to ban gas stoves. Over the nine months previous to this, Johnson has averaged 35% favorable and 44% unfavorable ratings in the MU polls, the lowest since Marquette began polling about him in 2013. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas have seen their approval ratings dip amid an alarming rise of Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations in both states over the past two months, . Its not crazy to think he could be vulnerable in 2020. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. The American Independent is the No. More money is expected to flow into the race as the candidates barrel toward the November general election. But Democratic Gov. Each has a PARS between +1 and -3, indicating that their net approval rating is in line with their states partisan lean. Trump is quite unpopular here. But whatever strengths Johnson brings to his bid for a third term, his current standing with the Wisconsin public poses some real perils. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Tommy Rife, of Cedar Bluff, Va., is charged with one count of misdemeanor assault and battery, according to Richlands Police Chief Ron Holt. Johnsons decline in popularity since 2019 has occurred among almost all groups. The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. Jimmy Carter 1977-81. Timmy! Democrats are banking on Johnsons unpopularity to give them an edge in one of the only contests this year where they stand a chance of knocking off a Republican incumbent as they defend a narrow Senate majority. Democratic Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term. 2 in PARS with a score of +33. Doing this for the Senate, we get the following table of senators with the best and worst statewide brands: Senators net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states. Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953-61. The poll, whose . But a comparison between then and now also points to the challenges Johnson faces. while Evers' approval rating remains above water. Any off-year election is going to be a referendum on Joe Biden, which is why its going to be a really difficult year for Democrats in places like Wisconsin, said former Wisconsin radio host Charlie Sykes, an early proponent of Johnson during his 2010 bid whos, and the Trump-inspired GOP. No matter who wins the 2020 presidential election, they wont be able to get much done if their party doesnt also win the Senate. Mandela Barnes, by five points (51% to 46%) in the state's U.S. Senate race. But in fact, he has been quite polarizing. Accordingly, the floor is 40%. So, its not a short-term fluctuation, but a strong trend, said pollster Charles Franklin, who provided the data used here. Johnson, a Republican and staunch ally of Donald Trump, enjoys the approval of 45% of Trump votersthough a considerable 31% of Trump voters . The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Shaded rows denote senators whose seats are up in 2020, excluding those senators who are not seeking reelection. Become a member for $9/month. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnsons job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. In Marquettes recent polling, there is now a massive 130-point partisan gap in attitudes toward Johnson: plus 57 among Republicans, minus 73 among Democrats. Johnsons ratings were minus 7 last August, minus 6 last October, minus 12 in February of this year and minus 10 in April. The January 6 hearings are a dog and pony show They should be holding the Jeffrey Epstein Videotaped Every US Congressman that Visited Epstein Pedophile Island and then Epstein Blackmailed Them hearings Or how about the Joe Biden Staged a Coup in Kiev in 2014, Overthrew the Democratically Elected Government of Ukraine, Then Murdered Over 15,000 Russian Speaking Ukraine Civilians hearings. All Rights Reserved. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state . But it has also been pronounced among some more politically mixed groups that arent as lopsidedly red or blue. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. When the dates . In 2014, McConnell also had popularity problems, and Democrats thought they had a top candidate to challenge him in Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. I'm not a polarizing figure at all. Around a quarter of Wisconsin Republicans (24 percent) disapprove of his job performance. The Wisconsin Republican remains deeply disliked by his constituents. The idea behind these stats is that a 70 percent approval rating for a Democrat in Massachusetts isnt the same as a 70 percent approval rating for a Democrat in Florida. Membership, which includes a host of perks, including an ad-free website, tickets to marquee events like Summerfest, the Wisconsin State Fair and the Florentine Opera, a better photo browser and access to members-only, behind-the-scenes tours, starts at $9/month. This unpopularity could drag him down in November, allowing Democrats to flip a Senate seat that, on paper, should remain Republican in this environment. Have you been living under a rock? The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive,Three years after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, remote and hybrid work are as popular as ever. . A poll taken in June 2022 found that 37% of respondents thought favorably of the senator, while 46% did not, giving him a net approval rating of -9. Finally, the senator who ranks last in PARS is also up for reelection in 2020, and its a big name: Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Based on Morning Consults approval ratings1 for every senator and governor in the country (now updated for the first quarter of 2022), PARS and PARG attempt to measure how much stronger (or weaker) a politician is than a generic (or, to use a term from baseball, replacement-level) candidate from their party would be. Faircloth's loss came in a year in which the President, Democrat Bill Clinton, had an approval rating in the 60s. The souring has been steepest among independent voters in Wisconsin. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Approval rating Approval Disapproval rating Disapproval Net approval. Gerald Ford 1974-77. Wedding-Focused Event Hall Planned for Vliet Street Near Washington Park, Friday Photos: UWMs New Chemistry Building Topped Off, Trump Recount Attorney Reappointed To Wisconsin Judicial Conduct Committee, Transportation: MCTS Buses Could Again Serve Summerfest, But Issues Remain, Housing Authority Has Waitlist Three Times Larger Than Its Affordable Housing Supply, $10.4 Million in Unclaimed Property matched to Rightful Owners, Two senior pedestrians killed attempting to cross Milwaukee streets, Eyes on Milwaukee: Train Car Bar Being Demolished, Transportation: Airport Will Rip Out Two Runways, Murphys Law: Journal Sentinel Circulation a Disaster, Milwaukee Extends Downtown Parking Meters To 9 P.M., Adds Saturdays, Protasiewicz Says She Would Recuse Herself From Cases Involving Democratic Party, Milwaukee World Festival, Inc. and 7% for Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson. Rife's warrant was served Wednesday and he is awaiting . The state has shifted right since Johnson's 3.4% win in 2016, and on paper, he chould be well positioned to win as a Republican running in a midterm with a Democratic president with low approval ratings. This version of partisan lean, meant to be used for congressional and gubernatorial elections, is calculated as 50 percent the state or districts lean relative to the nation in the most recent presidential election, 25 percent its relative lean in the second-most-recent presidential election and 25 percent a custom state-legislative lean. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the battleground state, which voted for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020. All in all, 39 percent of independent voters now strongly disapprove of Johnson, nearly five times as many as those who strongly approve. But as Franklin notes, Johnsons growing salience for these voters could help Democratic turnout. Yes. Evers, by contrast, had a net positive rating, with 48% approving of the job he did and 45% disapproving. While the majority of Wisconsin Republican voters (62 percent) approve of his job performance, that figure is down from 70 percent before the pandemic and from 78 percent in the first three months of 2017, just after his re-election. How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. Historically, the presidential election results in a given state have tracked closely with the Senate outcome there, and the two are only coming into closer alignment (in 2016, for example, the presidential and Senate outcome was the same in every state). Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. But a lot has changed in the last few months. Republican Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had the third lowest approval rating (37%) among U.S. Indeed, Democrats are more than twice as likely to strongly disapprove of Johnsons job performance than Republicans are to solidly back it, at 63 percent to 27 percent. Johnson has received his highest negatives ever (the share of voters who view him unfavorably) in Marquettes last four polls. Then we compared Johnsons current standing among these groups with two earlier periods in his 12-year Senate career: 2019, when he enjoyed his best-sustained ratings in Marquettes polling; and late 2015 to early 2016, which was Johnsons low point in popularity before now. In that sense, I think we can be quite confident the decline is real, Franklin said. And you might expect Democratic Gov. . Its based on the same premise as my Popularity Above Replacement Governor (PARG) statistic1 that its a good idea to think about politicians popularity in the context of their states partisanship. A few weeks after the 2020 election, the Crystal Ball put out an early look at the 2022 Senate races. Share: Listen Download. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors.
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