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Harman definitely has the short game that is his strength but off of the tee and with the irons he is not too shabby either. I personally really like to see him returning to prominence and I wouldnt mind an outright win here this week either. Riviera CC is a refreshing reminder that you can design a golf course to be challenging at just 7,300 yards. There are just eight players who rank top-40 in scoring from both hole ranges: Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im, Tom Hoge, Jason Day, and Aaron Baddeley. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? The Bermuda grass greens are bigger than average Tour size and they are firm and fast. Since 2020, Zal has delivered 17 top-10 finishes, 12 of which coming in comp difficult conditions between Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and right here at Bay Hill. The best way to find out is to hit about 50 balls with each club. Instead, the list of past champions back to tee it up includeMax Homa, Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes, and James Hahn. He averaged 303 yards off the tee at PGA National, 29th in the field. In 2021, Bryson DeChambeau and Lee Westwood, who sit on opposite sides of the distance spectrum, fought neck and neck from start to finish. You can see his blue dots are clustered very tightly around the 150-yard target. Includes Fantasy TeamBuilder After Scott, the rest of the top 10 in Event History includes: McIlroy, Rahm, Homa, Xander Schauffele, Luke Donald, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Aaron Baddeley, and Hideki Matsuyama. Ever heard of him? 9 could mean Players' first 600-yard hole Courses Golfweek's Best Courses Best You Can Play, state by state Top private courses, state by state Top 200 Resort Golf. Over eight career appearances, hes never finished outside the top-30, including a win in 2018 and a current streak of six consecutive top-13 finishes. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson were the only other tour players to top the 300-yard mark, as both averaged 302.1 yards on their drives. On average a professional golfer on the PGA Tour or LPGA Tour will hit pitching wedges an average distance of 130-150 yards. All of a sudden, a 500-yard hole may play more like 440 yards, putting it squarely into a par 4. @JustinThomas34 proximity to hole ranks 50-75 yards: 3rd 75-100 yards: 1st 100-125 yards: 1st 125-150 yards: 2nd 150-175 yards: 3rd" . Hes won here before at Bay Hill back in 2016, he just finished 5th at Scottsdale three weeks ago, hes won at Quail Hollow, took 11th at Congaree back in October, and last summer, before this transition really blossomed, he made the cut and finished 55th at Southern Hills in the PGA Championship. As an elevated event this time around in 2023, the purse will be among the highest of any non-Major event this season. Bay Hill is no different with five par-4s measuring over 450 yards and all four par-3s measuring over 200 yards. You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly. Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Max Homa, Keith Mitchell, Viktor Hovland, Gary Woodland, Bryson DeChambeau, and Luke List have all proven the strong correlation between both courses. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles? To strike high-quality golf shots, comprehending your club distance is essential. With that said, there is no set formula to find success at Bay Hill, but prior success in demanding conditions tend to be the best indicator. Bet with your head, not over it. With its elevated status, this event feature virtually every eligible player on the PGA TOUR. That means Arnold Palmer Invitational odds will include most of the best players in the world. That group includes Homa, Hahn, McIlroy, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Yong, and Griffin. Lob Wedge. No. A look down the list of past champions illustrates a trend of above-average driving distance with total driving as a strength of their games. Weve seen elite drivers of the golf ball win here, elite iron players, and those possessing a magical short game. On a calm day, Riviera presents one of the toughest challenges we see across golf. Touts are lame. Play the ball more up in your stance. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. Thanks for reading and good luck navigating 2023 Genesis Invitational odds! Holmes was 55th at 70.52 while Watson tied for 64th at 70.62. He is a two-time winner at Riviera CC, winning his event debut (then known as the Nissan Open, 2005) and again 15 years later in 2020. Some notables in this weeks field among the worst in terms of total strokes gained at Riviera CC include: Kevin Kisner, Jason Day, Keith Mitchell, Tyrrell Hatton, and Gary Woodland. Francesco Molinari a member at Riviera CC and top-10 finisher in this event in 2021 was also dominant in his victory at the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. However, the defending champion but will not be in the field for his title defense after leaving the PGA TOUR behind for LIV. This is a huge week forGood Drives Gained. Both courses are over 7,400 yards with an advantage to bombers, they feature thick and penal rough throughout, and have firm and fast Bermuda greens. With a loaded field in store and a trend of mid-tier players beyond 25-1 odds winning this event I dont have a single player in particular Im locked in to betting this week. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Most of the recent difficult scoring venues like TPC Potomac, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Torrey Pines (South), Innisbrook (Copperhead), and Bay Hill should serve as strong comps to simulate the all-around tee-to-green game required to contend. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 Tips: JT leads Jamie's picks for Bay Hill. 1 spot in my model this week. We saw Scottie Scheffler win at both tracks last year. 4 Reasons Why Your Short Game Doesn't Improve, and How To Fix It . Players who excel on approach will give themselves scoring opportunities on a course where those are not exactly abundant. ), multiply by 36, and choose the tees that most closely match that yardage. Last year, the weather took a turn for the worst over the weekend, quickly becoming a scrambling contest with these greens nearly impossible to reach in regulation. Although that list spans drastically different profiles of players, there is a prevailing trend of veterans whove proven consistent in difficult scoring conditions. First hole: The easiest par-5 on TOUR, playing 500 yards downhill, Sixth hole: 200-yard par-3 with a two-tiered green featuring a bunker right in the center, 10th hole: One of the shortest yet most challenging risk-reward par-4s on TOUR, 15th hole: A narrow dogleg right, which recently inspired a trend of players playing down the neighboring 17th hole fairway instead, Bogey Avoidance (Comp, Difficult Conditions). The median score has fallen around +5 in years where winds are up, so needless to say, itll be worth monitoring the forecast this week. I have a hard time picturing players like Homa, Cantlay, Thomas, and Morikawa priced longer than Zalatoris, which means Zal should open around 25-1. That changed on Thursday. PLAYER PLOTS QUERY TOOL Approach Skill NEW Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets. The average PGA Tour pitching wedge shot carried 122 yards. In round 4 on the par-5 12th, Furyk hit his third shot from 101 yards in the fairway to a cozy eight feet from the hole. As we flip the calendar to March, some madness in the world of golf is likely on tap in the coming weeks as well. Overlapping winners at Augusta National includes: Scott, Watson, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Mike Weir, Fred Couples, and Nick Faldo. Driver a long way, typically in the 290-yard range Nicklaus led the Tour in driving is., this course ranked as the ninth-hardest course on pga tour proximity to hole 50 yards PGA Tour average to. Here is everything you can expect from Bay Hill at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. LPGA pros hit 4-irons that total 180 yards; 5-irons 170; 6-irons 159; 7-irons 147; 8-irons 135; and 9-irons 123 yards. Professional golfers with the longest average driving distance on the PGA tour in 2022 (in yards) [Graph], PGA, August 24 . The presence of these reachable par-4s and par-5s creates hidden distance in the rest of the course, which also includes three par-3s over 190 yards and six par-4s over 450 yards. Matsuyama has six top-20 finishes over the last two years between The Farmers, The Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and U.S. Open at The Country Club. The PGA Tour, meanwhile, keeps a variety of statistics regarding the distances that players typically hit the ball with each club. After McIlroy, my models top-10 rounds out with: Homa, Finau, Morikawa, Rahm, Sungjae Im, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, and Scheffler. Those at the top of Genesis Invitational odds boards rarely prove able to close the door at this event. That makes sense on a course that yields a high percentage of missed greens in regulation. However, imposes one of the most stern challenges on the PGA TOUR nonetheless. Any wayward drives into the trees are essentially an automatic bogey. 1 on Tour for par 5s with a birdie or better, he is 7th in this field over the last 36 rounds for SG Off the Tee, and his putting has really come around ranking 35th in this field over the last 36 rounds for SG Putting. Nine of the Top 10 players in the OWGR are present, 23 of the Top 25 and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world rankings are scheduled to tee it up this Thursday. About one-third of approaches will come from beyond 200 yards, and a significant 70% of approaches will come from over 150 yards. The lack of wind last week at the Honda Classic was really an outlier versus what we typically see on the Florida Swing. The anatomy of a grinder in tough conditions from a statistical standpoint typically includes some combination of elite driving distance, consistent scoring across long par-3, 4, and 5s, Bogey Avoidance, and a comfortability on firm and fast greens. The Florida Swing is a cluttered stretch on the PGA TOUR schedule. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. The No. If that trend continues, thenRory McIlroy, Chris Kirk, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Keegan Bradley, Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Corey Conners, Billy Horschel, Gary Woodland, Jordan Spieth, Lucas Herbert, Sam Burns, Cameron Young, Russell Henley, and Collin Morikawa would each fit the bill. What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. The leader, Jim Furyk, clocked in at 31 feet. 1 in Bogey Avoidance in comp conditions and Comp Course History. ET (the day's coverage includes Golf Today at 12 p.m. Individual holes range from 100- 600 yards which are 90-550 meters. Riviera CC is one of the most iconic venues on the PGA TOUR schedule. Currently I practice indoors because of the winter. From one elevated event to another, the party was only just getting started in Phoenix. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Step 1 - don't panic. Over the last 36 rounds, Sungjae Im is 17th in this field for SG Ball Striking and 15th in SG Off the Tee. Even more encouraging to me than the T4 placement however, is how hes finished tournaments. ). The stretching 7,466 yard, Par 72 features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s measure over 555 yards. Hitting the Green From 200 Yards. Kisner, who played Augusta National on Sunday, said he had 210 yards to the front of the green - "I pounded it and there was no roll" - and anticipated that "the bombers can probably get home with 5- or 6-iron.". The shot must not originate from on or around the green and the. Over the last six years, only Kevin Chappell has registered four rounds in the 60s in the same API tournament. On paper, its a perfect fit for Rahm who can lean on all his ball-striking strengths and long-iron prowess to generate amble scoring opportunities at Bay Hill. That high Missed-Fairway percentage also correlates with one of the lowest Green-In-Regulation percentages on TOUR. He was excellent two weeks ago in Los Angeles and I just have to believe his game will travel well here in Orlando. SG: P (20-25 ft), P3: 200+andDriving Distancealso saw notable increases in importance compared to TOUR average. Distance off the tee is never necessarily a disadvantage, but the actual driving distance is 16% lower than the average TOUR course at only 282.5 yards. Between Scrambling, SG: Around The Green, and Sand Saves, Im looking to build around players who possess an imaginative, pressure-tested short game to find success on this course. With a player recovering from injury, such as Tiger Woods for example, its fair to expect play to get worse over four rounds as fatigue sets in. He didnt look great in exhibition display in Decembers The Match, but it will be interesting to see what a couple more months of rest and rehabilitation can do for his ailing Plantar Fasciitis. The typical carry for a 3-iron shot was 203 yards; for a 4-iron 189; for a 5-iron 181; for a 6-iron 169; for a 7-iron 160; for an 8-iron 149; and for a 9-iron 136. I was making an appearance on SportsGrid Radio last Sunday night, recapping the Honda Classic and looking ahead to Bay Hill. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. The CT8 GPS is the world's smallest Touch screen GPS golf trolley. These are the categories in which Zalatoris shines, as he joins Jon Rahm as the only two players to rank top-40 in each category. The leader, Jim Furyk, clocked in at 31 feet. He then cashed in on his rising stock by taking a Saudi paycheck months later and faded to golf obscurity ever since. No, he is not a tout. This is one of the rare weeks on the PGA TOUR where Course History is sticky enough to prioritize over Comp Course History.